同化FY-3C/MWHTS观测资料反演的海面气压场对台风数值预报的影响

张子瑾,董晓龙

Influence of Assimilating the Sea Surface Pressure Fields Retrieved from FY-3C/MWHTS Data on Typhoon Forecasting

Zijin Zhang,Xiaolong Dong

表3 台风Maria和Noru实况和预报的路径和强度的均方根误差

Table 3 The root mean squre errors between observed and the forecasted track and minimum surface pressure of typhoon Maria and Noru

台风 试验 路径预报均方根误差/km 强度预报均方根误差/hPa 0~24 h 24~48 h 48~72 h 0~24 h 24~48 h 48~72 h Maria CTRL试验 30.5 50.8 105.6 28.3 24.5 17.1 REXP试验 26.0 29.2 40.2 15.3 11.5 5.3 Noru CTRL试验 24.5 51.4 27.8 8.6 6.0 21.8 REXP试验 18.2 21.0 21.0 3.5 4.9 14.8