基于星载微波亮温数据的西北太平洋热带气旋生成预测方法

汪胜,杨晓峰,马文韬,相坤生,胡蝶

Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction based on Spaceborne Microwave Brightness Temperature Observations in the Northwest Pacific Ocean

Sheng Wang,Xiaofeng Yang,Wentao Ma,Kunsheng Xiang,Die Hu

表6 决策树规则说明以及各规则精度

Table 6 The Descriptions and accuracies of the rules derived from the decision tree

规则 规则描述 结果 精度 1 如果19H_MAX>259.41 发展 83.62% 2 如果19H_MAX<=259.41, 37H_AVG>205.4且37V_MAX>268.63 发展 68.42% 3 如果19H_MAX<=259.41, 37H_AVG>205.4且37V_MAX<=268.63 非发展 80.00% 4 如果19H_MAX<=259.41, 37H_AVG<=205.4且19V_MEAN_MIN<=11.99 非发展 93.39% 5 如果19H_MAX<=259.41, 37H_AVG<=205.4, 19V_MEAN_MIN>11.99且22V_PLADJ<=73.471 9 发展 64.28% 6 如果19H_MAX<=259.41, 37H_AVG<=205.4, 19V_MEAN_MIN>11.99且22V_PLADJ>73.471 9 非发展 84.78%